College football bowl projections for championship week: Michigan, Notre Dame move in CFP


Conference championship weekend is here.

The final College Football Playoff rankings will be unveiled on Sunday, and there are several intriguing scenarios for the final week. Georgia appears to be the only sure bet heading into the SEC championship game, and we still have the Bulldogs beating Alabama on Saturday.

MORE: College football coaching carousel: Every FBS coaching change in 2021

Michigan also moves into our projection after finally beating Ohio State. The Wolverines can clinch their first playoff berth with a win against Iowa on Saturday.

Cincinnati will be the first Group of 5 team to make the playoff if it beats Houston in the American Athletic Conference championship game. (We think that’s the case, anyway). That leaves a fourth spot and a debate among Notre Dame, Oklahoma State if it wins the Big 12 championship game and a potential two-loss Alabama team. We think the Irish win that debate by a small margin.

With that, here are our championship week bowl projections. SN has projections for all 42 bowl games here, and they will be updated throughout the season:

MORE: College football picks, predictions against the spread for every conference championship game

College football bowl projections for championship weekDate
Bowl
Matchup
Dec. 17
Bahamas Bowl
Miami (Ohio) vs. UTEP
Dec. 17
Cure Bowl
Ball State vs. East Carolina
Dec. 18
RoofClaim.com Boca Raton Bowl
Eastern Michigan vs. Liberty*
Dec. 18
New Mexico Bowl
Air Force vs. Old Dominion
Dec. 18
Radiance Technologies Independence Bowl
BYU vs. UTSA
Dec. 18
Lendingtree Bowl
Kent State vs. Georgia State
Dec. 18
Los Angeles Bowl
San Diego State vs. Washington State
Dec. 18
R&L Carriers New Orleans Bowl
Louisiana vs. UAB
Dec. 20
Myrtle Beach Bowl
Coastal Carolina vs. Tulsa
Dec. 21
Famous Idaho Potato Bowl
Western Michigan vs. Boise State
Dec. 21
Tropical Smoothie Cafe Frisco Bowl
Toledo vs. North Texas
Dec. 22
Armed Forces Bowl
Army* vs. Western Kentucky
Dec. 23
Union Home Mortgage Gasparilla Bowl
Florida* vs. Fresno State*
Dec. 24
Hawai’i Bowl
Utah State vs. Memphis**
Dec. 25
Camellia Bowl
Northern Illinois vs. App State
Dec. 27
Quick Lane Bowl
UCF vs. Marshall*
Dec. 27
Military Bowl
Wyoming* vs. Missouri*
Dec. 28
TicketSmarter Birmingham Bowl
Houston vs. Mississippi State
Dec. 28
First Responder Bowl
FAU vs. Virginia Tech*
Dec. 28
AutoZone Liberty Bowl
Kansas State vs. Auburn
Dec. 28
Holiday Bowl
Arizona State vs. Miami
Dec. 28
Guaranteed Rate Bowl
Louisville vs. LSU*
Dec. 29
Fenway Bowl
SMU vs. Virginia
Dec. 29
Pinstripe Bowl
Maryland vs. Boston College
Dec. 29
Cheez-It Bowl
West Virginia vs. North Carolina
Dec. 29
Valero Alamo Bowl
Oregon vs. Oklahoma
Dec. 30
Duke’s Mayo Bowl
Minnesota vs. Wake Forest
Dec. 30
Transperfect Music City Bowl
Penn State vs. Texas A&M
Dec. 30
SRS Las Vegas Bowl
Oregon State vs. Purdue
Dec. 31
TaxSlayer Gator Bowl
South Carolina vs. Clemson
Dec. 31
Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl
UCLA vs. N.C. State
Dec. 31
Arizona Bowl
Central Michigan vs. Nevada
Jan. 1
Outback Bowl
Wisconsin vs. Tennessee
Jan. 1
Vrbo Citrus Bowl
Iowa vs. Kentucky
Jan. 4
Texas Bowl
Iowa State vs. Arkansas

*Denotes not tied to bowl game

MORE: College football polls: Updated AP Top 25, Coaches Poll rankings after Week 13

College Football New Year’s Day 6 projectionsDate
Bowl
Matchup
Dec. 30
Chick-Fil-A Peach Bowl
Ole Miss vs. Pitt
Jan. 1
PlayStation Fiesta Bowl
Baylor vs. Michigan State
Jan. 1
Rose Bowl Game
Utah vs. Ohio State
Jan. 1
Allstate Sugar Bowl
Oklahoma State vs. Alabama
Dec. 31
Capital One Orange Bowl (semifinal)
Notre Dame vs. Georgia
Dec. 31
Goodyear Cotton Bowl Classic (semifinal)
Cincinnati vs. Michigan
College Football Playoff championship projectionDate
Bowl
Matchup
Jan. 10
College Football Playoff championship
Georgia vs. Michigan



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